Nassim Taleb on Confidence Quotes

"Don't tell me what you think, tell me what you have in your portfolio."

"I am most skeptical of those who are most certain."

"Confidence is the feeling you have before you fully understand the situation."

"The person you are most afraid to contradict is yourself."

"Avoid the 'expert' who has no skin in the game; their confidence is a liability."

"True confidence is the ability to look at the world without the need for filters."

"Arrogance is the belief that you have the right to be wrong without consequences."

"We value the confidence of the pilot because he has skin in the game."

"The fool is the one who is confident when he should be afraid."

"Knowledge is not about what you know, but about how you handle what you don't know."

"Overconfidence is a byproduct of the narrative fallacy."

"The charlatan is always more confident than the professional."

"Epistemic humility is the only antidote to the arrogance of the expert."

"The most dangerous person is the one who is confident and wrong."

"Real confidence is being comfortable with your own ignorance."

"Confidence without skin in the game is just reckless gambling with other people's lives."

"The Lindy effect suggests that time is the only judge of true confidence."

"Being confident in a forecast is the first step toward disaster."

"The gap between what you know and what you think you know is where the Black Swan lives."

"A man with a conviction is a hard man to change."

"Skepticism is the highest form of confidence in one's own reasoning."

"Never trust a doctor who is too confident; trust the one who looks at the evidence."

"The arrogance of the IYI (Intellectual Yet Idiot) is the greatest threat to society."

"Courage is the only virtue that cannot be faked; it is the ultimate form of confidence."

"The strategist who is too confident in his plan has already lost the war."

"We are built to be overconfident; it is a survival mechanism that fails in the modern world."

"The difference between a hero and a coward is not their fear, but their confidence in their purpose."

"If you are not afraid of being wrong, you are not really thinking."

"Confidence is often just a lack of imagination regarding what could go wrong."

"The most confident people are often those who have the least to lose."

"Wisdom is knowing when to be confident and when to be terrified."

"We mistake the confidence of the speaker for the truth of the speech."

"We are demonstrably arrogant about what we think we know."